Analysts determined that a baseball team had a 25% chance of winning its next game. Which simulation could you use to answer questions about winning the game?
Flipping
Heads
Spinning
Lands on 1 or 2
Rolling
2
Picking and Replacing
Blue
Which simulation could you use to answer questions about winning the game?
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You could use “Spinning Lands on 1 or 2” for this simulation.
Here’s why: If you create a spinner divided into four equal sections, with two sections labeled “Win” and two labeled “Lose,” the chance of landing on “Win” (which represents a win for the baseball team) would be 50%. This doesn’t reflect the 25% winning probability of the team. Instead, if you adjusted the spinner to have one section labeled “Win” and three sections labeled “Lose,” the probability of winning would more accurately represent the team’s chances.
Thus, you could simulate the game outcome more effectively with something similar to a selection method that represents the respective probabilities. Feel free to ask if you’d like more information!